American Association for the Advancement of Science

AAAS Preliminary Analysis of R&D in the FY 2008 Budget
February 7, 2007 -

Research Funding Falls in 2008 Budget Despite ACI Gains;
Development Hits New Highs

AAAS Preliminary Analysis of R&D in the FY 2008 Budget

Go to:

-R&D in the FY 2008 Budget

-The FY 2008 R&D Budget in Historical Context

-Highlights of the Major R&D Funding Agencies

-Budget Context and Outlook

-Table 1. R&D in the FY 2008 Budget by Agency

-Table 2. Research in the FY 2008 Budget

-Table 3. Major Functional Categories of R&D

- Table 4. Homeland Security R&D

- Table 5. R&D by Appropriations Subcommittee

- Table 6. Interagency Science and Technology Initiatives

PDF version of this document

Detailed agency updates (available soon):

U.S. Department of Agriculture

Department of Commerce

Department of Defense

Department of Energy

Department of Homeland Security

Department of the Interior

Department of Transportation

Department of Veterans Affairs

Environmental Protection Agency

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

National Institutes of Health and HHS

National Science Foundation

Supplemental Tables and Full-Color Charts (PDF)

-Table. Total R&D by Agency (Preliminary 2/07)

-Table. Basic Research by Agency (Preliminary 2/07)

-Table. Applied Research by Agency (Preliminary 2/07)

-Table. Research in the FY 2008 Budget (Preliminary 2/07)

-Table. Development by Agency (Preliminary 2/07)

-Table. Conduct of R&D by Agency (Preliminary 2/07)

-Table. R&D Facilities and Capital Equipment by Agency (Preliminary 2/07)

-Historical Table 1. R&D by Agency, 1976-2008 (Preliminary 2/07)

-Historical Table 2. R&D by Agency, 1976-2008 in Constant Dollars
(Preliminary 2/07)

-Chart. Trends in Federal R&D, 1976-2008 (Preliminary 2/07)- Data Table

-Chart. Trends in Federal R&D by character of work, 1976-2008 (Preliminary 2/07)

- Chart. Trends in Federal R&D as % of GDP, FY 1976-2008
- Data Table

-Chart. Selected Trends in Nondefense R&D, 1976-2008 (Preliminary 2/07)

-Chart. Trends in Research by Agency, 1976-2008 (Preliminary 2/07) - Data Table

-Chart. Trends in Basic Research, 1976-2008 (Preliminary 2/07) - Data Table

-Chart. Trends in Defense R&D, 1976-2008 (Preliminary 2/07) - Data Table

-Chart. Trends in DOD S&T, 1994-2008 (Preliminary 2/07) - Data Table

-Chart. Trends in Federal R&D, FY 1995-2008 (DOD, NIH, NSF, DOE, NASA, USDA) (Preliminary 2/07)

-Chart. Trends in Federal R&D, FY 1995-2008 (DOC, DOI, DOT, EPA) (Preliminary 2/07)

-Chart. Trends in DOE Office of Science, 1987-2008 (Preliminary 2/07) - Data Table

-Chart. Defense and Nondefense R&D, 1949-2008 (2/07) - Data Table

-Chart. Nondefense R&D by Function, 1953-2008 (2/07) - Data Table

 

(All figures in this analysis are preliminary and will be revised in later AAAS releases. This analysis is a preview of the forthcoming AAAS Report XXXII: Research and Development FY 2008, a comprehensive look at the President's budget for R&D in FY 2008. This analysis contains the latest AAAS estimates of R&D in FY 2007 appropriations. More tables and continually updated supplemental materials on R&D in the FY 2007 and 2008 budgets can be found on the AAAS R&D Web site at www.aaas.org/spp/rd).

On February 5, President Bush released his proposed budget for FY 2008. The new budget continues old themes from previous budgets with large proposed increases for the three physical sciences agencies in the American Competitiveness Initiative (ACI), increases for weapons development and human spacecraft development, and declining funding for the rest of the federal research and development (R&D) portfolio. Within an overall budget that once again proposes to restrain domestic spending but dramatically increase defense spending, many agencies such as the National Institutes of Health (NIH) would see their R&D funding fall. The overall federal investment in R&D would increase to $143.0 billion, a 1.4 percent increase over the likely final total for the still-unfinished FY 2007 budget, but development funding would take up the entire increase and more. The federal investment in basic and applied research would fall 2.0 percent from the likely 2007 total to $55.4 billion in 2008 as gains in the ACI agencies would be more than offset by cuts in other agencies’ research funding. In real terms, the federal research investment would fall for the fourth year in a row after peaking in 2004.

 R&D in the FY 2008 Budget: Once Again, Gains for Weapons, Space Vehicles, and the Physical Sciences, Cuts for Others

 In its broad outlines, President Bush’s proposed budget for FY 2008 once again offers the same themes as in previous years: big increases for defense and homeland security, trims in some entitlement programs, extensions of expiring tax cuts, and a promise to reduce the budget deficit primarily by cutting domestic discretionary spending. Unlike last year, when the ACI made its debut, there are no new R&D initiatives in the budget but rather a sustained commitment to increasing funding for the three favored agencies of the National Science Foundation (NSF), the Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Science, and the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) laboratories in Commerce. The three research-oriented ACI agencies lead the pack in R&D gains (see Figure 1), followed closely by proposed gains for development programs in the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and the Department of Defense (DOD; see Figure 1). But within a declining domestic budget, there would be stark contrasts between these priority programs and everything else: nearly all other nondefense R&D programs would face cuts, and defense research would also fall steeply.

 Because only DOD and the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) have their final 2007 budgets, most federal agencies prepared their 2008 budgets based on temporary funding levels contained in a continuing resolution (CR) that expires on February 15. The current CR mostly assumes 2007 funding that is flat with 2006. But just last week, the House approved a full-year funding resolution that would dramatically boost funding for key R&D agencies, including NIH and the ACI agencies. The Senate is expected to approve the resolution mostly unchanged within the next week, thereby finalizing 2007 appropriations at last. As a result, the 2007 funding baseline for many agencies has shifted dramatically in the past week. (All figures in this release are preliminary and will be revised in later AAAS releases with revised agency data. The FY 2007 figures and therefore FY 2007-08 comparisons are based on revised AAAS estimates of R&D in the FY 2007 joint funding resolution as approved by the House. In many cases, the revisions result in funding trends that differ significantly from funding trends reported in the President’s budget documents.)

 

Figure 1. (click on the image for PDF)

 - The proposed federal R&D portfolio in FY 2008 is a record $143.0 billion, $2.0 billion or 1.4 percent above this year’s likely funding level (see Table 1 and Figure 2). Once again, development would be the clear winner: development funding would hit a new high of $82.8 billion (up $2.4 billion or 3.0 percent) because of large increases for DOD weapons and NASA spacecraft development, including new requests for $1.4 billion in 2007 and $2.8 billion in 2008 for DOD development as part of the Bush Administration’s war supplementals (see Figure 2).

 - Total federal support of research (basic and applied) would fall 2.0 percent to $55.4 billion, even after large proposed increases for physical sciences and related research in NSF, DOE’s Office of Science, and NIST (see Table 2 and Figure 2). A rare cut in NIH research funding and steep cuts in research funding at DOD, NASA, USDA, and other agencies would more than offset the ACI gains. In real terms, the federal research portfolio would fall for the fourth year in a row, down 7.4 percent from 2004.

 - President Bush’s American Competitiveness Initiative (ACI) would once again be the big winner among domestic programs. Just last week, the three ACI agencies won large increases in 2007 as part of the joint funding resolution; now, the President proposes to boost ACI funding even higher in 2008. NSF R&D would increase 8.3 percent over the likely 2007 funding level to $4.9 billion within a total budget of $6.4 billion (up 8.7 percent). DOE’s Office of Science would get a 16 percent increase in its R&D funding to $4.1 billion in 2008 over the 2007 funding resolution level. And R&D performed in the NIST laboratories would increase 21.5 percent to $421 million. But although the ACI aims to boost federal investments in physical sciences research, the two other major sponsors of the physical sciences would face cuts in their research support: DOD support of basic and applied research would fall 18 percent to $5.9 billion, while NASA research would slide 0.5 percent to $3.4 billion (see Table 2).

 - The National Institutes of Health (NIH) budget would fall in 2008 compared to the likely 2007 funding level. Last week, NIH received a surprise $600 million boost in the 2007 funding resolution above what it had been expecting all year, but the additional 2007 money means the $28.8 billion NIH request for 2008 would be a cut instead of an increase. NIH R&D would fall $325 million or 1.1 percent.

 - NASA R&D would continue to climb to fund the development of new human spacecraft to replace the Space Shuttle. NASA R&D would climb 7.7 percent to $12.6 billion, but the entire increase would go to two big projects: finishing the International Space Station and developing the Crew Launch Vehicle and Crew Exploration Vehicle combination. As a result, NASA support of research in the physical sciences, environmental sciences, aeronautics, and other disciplines would fall once again.

 - Nondefense R&D agencies not linked to the ACI or space would their R&D funding decline within a tight domestic budget (see Figure 1). Even R&D in Administration priorities such as energy R&D (down 9.2 percent to $1.3 billion, primarily because of last-minute infusions of 2007 funds in the joint funding resolution) and DHS R&D (down 1.5 percent to $933 million within an expanding DHS budget) would fall in 2008. Commerce’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) would see its R&D funding decline 9.5 percent from a newly boosted 2007 funding level down to $544 million despite an increase for oceans research.

 

Figure 2. (click on the image for PDF)

- Nondefense R&D would increase 2.2 percent to $59.9 billion, far better than the flat funding requested for all nondefense discretionary programs and just short of the 2.4 percent expected inflation rate (see Table 1). Boosts for the ACI and space vehicles development help to offset requested cuts in other nondefense R&D programs, but even increases in these areas are not enough to keep the nondefense portfolio from falling behind inflation for the fourth year in a row.

 - Defense R&D continues to climb to record levels in wartime, boosted by additional billions for development on top of regular funding in both 2007 and 2008 as part of war-related supplemental requests. Total defense R&D would reach $83.0 billion in 2008 (including $2.8 billion in a war supplemental), up 0.9 percent over an FY 2007 total that also includes supplemental funding that was just requested but not yet appropriated for the current year. Department of Defense (DOD) weapons systems development would increase dramatically by $3.5 billion or 5.5 percent to a new high of $68.1 billion (see Figure 1), but once again there would be steep cuts in DOD’s S&T (DOD “6.1” through “6.3” plus medical research) programs. DOD S&T would plummet 20.3 percent down to $10.9 billion, with cuts in all three categories of basic research, applied research, and technology development.

 - The Administration priorities of defense development, space exploration, and basic physical sciences research show up clearly in the federal R&D portfolio by mission (see Table 3). The priority missions would all receive large increases, while R&D for other national missions would fall sharply. Space-related R&D would gain 11.4 percent to $12.0 billion, entirely from gains in development funding of new space vehicles instead of the broader space R&D portfolio. Proposed ACI boosts to the DOE Office of Science and NSF make up the 11.6 percent gain for general science R&D to $8.9 billion, while the NIST labs’ increase would boost commerce R&D by 11.0 percent. But R&D for other national missions including agriculture (down 12 percent), transportation (down 19 percent), energy (down 8 percent) and the environment (down 5 percent) would all fall in a tight budget. Even health R&D, usually on the positive side, would fall 1.0 percent down to $30.1 billion because of cuts at NIH. Justice R&D in the DHS would climb 14 percent but after a steep cut in 2007, leaving 2008 funding well below 2006.

 - Federal homeland security-related R&D would total $4.8 billion in FY 2008, a gain of $205 million or 4.4 percent after a dramatic slide in 2007 due mainly to steep cuts in the DHS R&D portfolio (see Table 4). The majority of the multi-agency portfolio remains outside the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), with the largest part in the National Institutes of Health (NIH) for its biodefense research portfolio. NIH’s portfolio, mostly in the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), would total $1.8 billion in FY 2008 (down 0.7 percent). DHS R&D would continue to decline, while increases would go to food safety research in USDA, basic research on terrorism-related topics at NSF, and decontamination and drinking water protection projects at EPA.

 - President Bush’s FY 2008 budget now goes to a newly Democratic-majority Congress, where the R&D requests will go through a newly reorganized appropriations process. Democratic appropriators have reorganized appropriations jurisdictions into 11 bills, 10 of which fund some R&D (see Table 5). As in the past, 95 percent of the federal R&D portfolio will be appropriated through 4 appropriations bills.

 - Despite increasing attention to climate change and possible policy measures to address it, federal spending on climate change science is falling (see Table 6). Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) funding would decline 7.4 percent to $1.5 billion in 2008, falling steeply for the fourth year in a row from nearly $2 billion in 2004. Although climate change funding in most participating agencies remains stable, steep cuts in recent years to NASA research (the largest sponsor of climate change of science) have resulted in a diminishing overall federal effort. Among other multi-agency R&D initiatives, funding for the Networking and Information Technology R&D initiative would level off at $3.1 billion. The National Nanotechnology Initiative would benefit from ACI increases for leading members NSF and DOE Office of Science to reach $1.4 billion (up 4.0 percent).

 The FY 2008 R&D Budget in Historical Context: Another Year of Decline

 Although high-priority investments in weapons development, human space exploration, and physical sciences research help to keep the federal R&D outlook brighter than the bleak outlook for domestic programs overall, the FY 2008 budget continues the recent trends of declining federal support for research amid increasing support for weapons systems development. 

 The federal investment in basic and applied research would fall for the fourth year in a row in real terms (see Figure 3) if the FY 2008 budget is enacted. Federal research did very well between 1998 and 2003 because of the campaign to double the budget of NIH, the largest federal supporter of research. Other agencies also increased their research investments in that time period because a string of budget surpluses freed up resources for domestic appropriations. But with the return of budget deficits in 2002 followed by restraints on domestic spending thereafter, growth in research funding for NIH and other domestic agencies slowed in 2004 and then reversed. At the same time, DOD research support lagged as the Pentagon went to war in 2003 and shifted resources away from research toward near-term projects, and NASA research fell even within a stable R&D budget as it shifted resources from research first to returning the Space Shuttle to flight and then toward developing the Shuttle’s replacement. As a result, federal support for research in nearly all disciplines is now in decline, a decline that would accelerate in the 2008 budget, even in the physical sciences where ACI gains would be more than offset by NASA and DOD cuts. The 2008 budget would leave the federal research portfolio 7.4 percent below the 2004 level in inflation-adjusted dollars.

Figure 3. (click on the image for PDF)

Federal research investments are shrinking as a share of the U.S. economy, just as other nations are increasing their investments. As shown in Figure 4, the federal R&D investment exceeded 1 percent of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) until recently, buoyed by big increases in weapons development, but is now declining sharply. Federal investments in development, mostly in DOD, have held steady as a share of the economy, but the federal research/GDP ratio is in free fall down to a projected 0.38 percent in 2008, below the long-term historical average of 0.4 percent after gains in the late 1990s. Despite an increasingly technology-based economy and a growing recognition among policymakers that federal research investments are the seed corn for future technology-based innovations, the U.S. government research investment has failed to match the new realities and has also failed to match the competition. Asian nations are dramatically increasing their government research investments: both China and South Korea, for example, are boosting government research by 10 percent or more annually.

 
Figure 4. (click on image for PDF)

Highlights of the Major R&D Funding Agencies

(Complete coverage of the major R&D funding agencies will be available in the forthcoming AAAS Report XXXII: R&D FY 2008 and on the AAAS R&D web site in agency updates. All figures in this analysis are preliminary, and will be revised in later releases. The FY 2007 estimates for most agencies have been adjusted to reflect the latest AAAS estimates of R&D in the pending 2007 joint funding resolution, and therefore differ from figures presented in the President’s budget.)

 - The National Institutes of Health (NIH) budget would fall $329 million or 1.1 percent to $28.8 billion from the likely 2007 funding level, but the cut becomes $529 million after adjusting for an additional transfer out of the agency. NIH R&D would also fall also 1.1 percent to $28.1 billion (see Table 1). Most NIH institutes and centers (ICs) would see their budgets remain flat for the fourth year in a row, with no allowance for inflation, but in 2007 ICs would be freed of their obligation to transfer 1.2 percent of their budgets to the NIH-wide Roadmap for Medical Research so they would have a small 2007 increase. But in the 2008 budget they would once again transfer 1.3 percent of their budgets to the Roadmap, resulting in a 1.3 percent cut for most. The Office of the Director (OD) budget balloons to $1.1 billion in 2007 under the 2007 funding resolution to centralize Roadmap funding, but would fall to $517 million in 2008. The overall Roadmap would total $486 million, up slightly from likely 2007 funding. After adjusting for economy-wide inflation, the 2008 NIH budget would be 7.6 percent below the 2004 peak (see Figure 5), but based on NIH’s own calculation of biomedical research inflation the loss would be 12 percent. Because of an unusually large number of existing grants ending, NIH expects to offer more than 10,000 new research grants in 2008 for the first time since 2004, but at the cost of canceling inflationary adjustments for existing research grants and cutting other programs such as intramural research and training funds.

 - The National Science Foundation (NSF) benefits from the Administration’s American Competitiveness Initiative with an 8.7 percent boost in its total budget to $6.4 billion in 2008, after a similar boost in 2007 as part of the joint funding resolution. Most research directorates would receive increases between 4 percent and 9 percent for the second year in a row after two years of decline before then. In real terms, funding for the Geosciences and Biological Sciences directorates would remain below 2004 funding levels even after the 2007 and 2008 increases, while the computer sciences, social sciences, mathematics and physical sciences, polar, and engineering directorates would all reach new highs. NSF’s R&D investments would total $4.9 billion, an 8.3 percent increase that would be an all-time high (see Figure 5).

 - The Department of Defense (DOD) R&D investment continues to grow, with a proposed increase of $765 million to $79.0 billion. DOD weapons development would increase dramatically by 5.5 percent or $3.5 billion to an all-time high of $68.1 billion, including $2.8 billion in development funds requested as part of a 2008 war supplemental. The Air Force would get the bulk of the new money, an additional $3.5 billion for an R&D budget of $28.1 billion in 2008 for projects such as the Joint Strike Fighter (JSF). But as in past years, the big proposed increases for development are matched by steep cuts to DOD’s future-oriented investments: “Science and Technology” (S&T), which includes research, medical research, and technology development, would fall 20.3 percent to $10.9 billion, erasing seven years of gains (see Table 1 and Figure 5). Within S&T, basic research (“6.1”) funding would fall 8.7 percent, while applied research (“6.2”) would fall 18 percent, mostly but not entirely due to the proposed elimination of earmarks. The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) would do relatively well among research-oriented programs with a request of $3.1 billion, holding steady with this year’s budget. The fledgling National Defense Education Program would more than double from $19 million to $44 million next year.

 
Figure 5. (click on PDF)

- The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) suffers a setback in 2007 but looks to rebound with a $1.0 billion requested increase in 2008 over the likely 2007 final appropriation. The $17.3 billion 2008 request would be a 6.5 percent increase, of which $12.6 billion would go for R&D activities (up 7.7 percent; see Table 1). The Constellation Systems program to develop the new Crew Exploration Vehicle and the Crew Launch Vehicle would increase 24 percent from the likely 2007 funding level to $3.1 billion to eat up most of the R&D increase. Construction of the International Space Station, now in full gear with the return of the Space Shuttle to flight, would require $2.2 billion next year, up $455 million from this year. Increases for these two big-ticket programs would leave NASA’s research-oriented programs in decline. Although NASA would protect the Science program of earth-sun science, earth observing, astronomy, and robotic missions from cuts (up 5 percent to $5.5 billion), aeronautics research would plummet 38 percent down to $554 million and the remnants of the life and physical sciences effort would tumble 33 percent to $183 million. Because NASA R&D funding has remained constant in real terms for more than a decade (see Figure 5), big increases in development funding to fulfill the Vision for Space Exploration of returning humans to the moon before going to Mars have cut into NASA’s traditional research programs in recent years.

- The Department of Energy (DOE) R&D portfolio would climb 5.5 percent to $9.2 billion because of continuing Administration support for DOE’s Office of Science (OS) as part of the American Competitiveness Initiative (ACI). DOE Science would once again be the clear winner in the budget with a 15.8 percent proposed increase to $4.1 billion over the likely 2007 final budget for its R&D portfolio centered around the physical sciences (see Figure 1). OS programs should all receive substantial increases for the second year to hit historic highs (see Figure 5). Fusion research would total $428 million, up a third, as the U.S. boosts its contribution to the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) project from $60 million to $160 million next year. Basic Energy Sciences (BES) would dominate the OS portfolio with $1.5 billion, up from $1.1 billion as recently as last year, to operate the new Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) and to boost its support of basic research at other national laboratories. DOE’s energy R&D would total $1.3 billion, a cut from 2007 because of a surprise last-minute infusion of hundreds of millions of dollars in the 2007 funding resolution. DOE R&D investments in renewables such as hydrogen, biomass, and solar energy would be up dramatically from two years ago. But DOE once again proposes to eliminate R&D on gas and oil technologies and some renewable energy technologies, and proposes to cancel $50 million in mandatory funding for a deepwater oil and gas exploration R&D program.

- The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) R&D portfolio fell sharply in 2007 because of rising congressional dissatisfaction with the new department’s R&D efforts, and would edge down another 1.5 percent to $933 million in 2008, even as overall DHS spending would increase. While research on radiological and countermeasures would continue to climb (up 19 percent to $257 million) in the newly separate Domestic Nuclear Detection Office (DNDO), R&D in the main Science and Technology Directorate would fall steeply for the second year. University Programs funding would fall again down to $39 million, down a third in two years.

- R&D in the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) would fall 10.8 percent from the likely 2007 final appropriation to $2.0 billion, mostly from proposed cuts in intramural research (see Figure 5). On the extramural side, the National Research Initiative (NRI) of competitively awarded research grants would increase $66 million to a record $257 million, although similar proposed increases in past years have not made it through Congress. Hatch Act funding falls from an unexpectedly large $323 million 2007 appropriation down below historical levels to $164 million; although funding is traditionally distributed by formula, a quarter of the 2008 funds could be awarded competitively.

- The National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) laboratories in the Department of Commerce would benefit from the ACI. NIST intramural research would climb 21.5 percent to $421 million, while construction funding for NIST research facilities would jump 60 percent to $94 million. The Bush Administration once again proposes to eliminate NIST’s extramural Advanced Technology Program (ATP). The ATP had a budget of $79 million in FY 2006 and is likely to have the same amount in 2007. In another repeat of previous requests, the budget would cut the non-R&D Hollings Manufacturing Extension Partnership by 56 percent down to $46 million. Total NIST R&D would increase 11 percent to $515 million. Also in Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) R&D would fall by 9.5 percent to $544 million, despite requested increases for selected ocean research programs.

- The Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) would maintain a flat R&D budget of $822 million in FY 2008, but planned funding from other sources would bring total VA-performed R&D to $1.8 billion.

- R&D in the Department of the Interior would fall 2.4 percent to $621 million, with a similar 3.4 percent cut to $547 million for R&D in Interior’s lead science agency, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). The cuts would, as in previous requests, be concentrated in USGS’ mineral resources and water resources R&D, with modest increases or flat funding for other R&D priorities.

- The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) R&D portfolio of $547 million would be a 3.5 percent cut from the likely 2007 funding level, with cuts to most research areas partially offset by increases for homeland security-related research.

- Department of Transportation (DOT) R&D funding would increase 2.0 percent to $812 million because of requested cuts in aviation R&D combined with increases for highway R&D.

Budget Context and Outlook

 For the first time, this budget from President Bush goes to a Democratic Congress. As members of Congress who are still adjusting to new roles in the majority or minority gear up for budget hearings in the coming weeks, they first have to finalize FY 2007 appropriations left unfinished by the previous Congress. Then, they are likely to turn their attention to the record-breaking $716 billion request for the military, which includes a sizeable $93 billion for the current 2007 fiscal year. Only then are they likely to turn to the 2008 budget. The Democratic majority has already signaled that the President’s request for domestic appropriations, which amount to flat funding after taking out homeland security money, is inadequate. In the upcoming debate on the 2008 budget resolution, the congressional response to the President’s budget, Congress is expected to try to add money to overall domestic appropriations so that the Appropriations Committees can add money to individual programs later in the year. Based on their actions in the 2007 funding resolution, which added money to the ACI agencies, NIH, and other R&D programs, Democratic appropriators appear poised to support the ACI increases in 2008 and to add money if available to other R&D programs. If so, the funding outlook for federal R&D will improve as the year goes on. But unless Congress makes dramatic changes in the current trend of flat to declining domestic spending, the downward slide in federal support of research is unlikely to reverse, even if a select few programs buck the trend with increases.

 - February 7, 2007

(More materials on R&D in the FY 2008 budget, historical data and charts, and more information on AAAS Report XXXII: Research and Development FY 2008, can be found on the AAAS R&D Web site at www.aaas.org/spp/rd. The information in this preliminary analysis will be continually updated with revised agency data, and revisions.)

AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
1200 New York Ave, NW
Washington, DC 20005
(202) 326-6607
science_policy@aaas.org
http://www.aaas.org/spp/rd

Go to Tables 1-6

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